Sunday, January 20, 2008

Royals Sign Brett Tomko

The Royals have reportedly reached a preliminary agreement on a one-year contract to right-handed pitcher Brett Tomko.

Here are Brett Tomko's numbers the previous three seasons:

2005: SF: 4.48 ERA, 190.2 IP, 57 BB, 114 K, 1.37 WHIP, 95 ERA+
2006: LAD: 4.73 ERA, 131.3 IP, 29 BB, 76 K, 1.35 WHIP, 95 ERA+
2007: LAD/SDP: 5.55 ERA, 131.3 IP, 48 BB, 105 K, 1.50 WHIP, 80 ERA+

The overall trend is downward. Tomko has a 4.62 ERA pitching in mostly pitchers' parks. His results have been decidedly below average the last three seasons, where he played in notoriously pitcher-friendly AT&T Park, Dodger Stadium, and PETCO Park. The strikeout-to-walk numbers indicate that he has moderate stuff and control, but his ground-ball percentage has been consistently in the 40's throughout his career. Quite simply, he's a fly ball pitcher with moderate stuff pitching in a hitter's park. Not exactly an ideal combination.

Tomko will earn $3MM in 2005 with another possible $1.5MM in performance incentives. At this point, the #4 slot in the rotation is likely his to lose. I fail to see how he's a significant upgrade over the likes of Luke Hudson, Jorge De La Rosa, and Brandon Duckworth, who are also each fighting for slots in the rotation and front end of the bullpen. I would rather have seen this money committed toward either future drafts, meaningful Free Agent acquisitions, or the always ambiguous "keep players in K.C. lockbox".

However, MLB Trade Rumors raised an interesting point when analyzing the deal:

It could make sense to look at Tomko for the closer job and switch Joakim Soria to the rotation. Tomko's flexibility might come in handy.

Any thoughts on our latest pitching addition?

1 comment:

Jeff said...

I really dont want Tomko in the rotation but the #4 spot is his to lose and there are 3 mil reasons why a he won't lose it. I'd love Soria starting but I think they are determined to keep in hte pen.